System of automatic control of power usage based on a neural network
Keywords:
Control system, neuron network, NARX, Smart Grid, Levenberg-Marquardt optimization, Bayesian regulationAbstract
Abstract — in this article is considered a problem of prediction amount generated energy from renewable sources with the help of a neural network. Our system can be part of some systems for tasks of managing distribution of energy. First our mission is to analyze information. We sorted all incoming data form renewable sources and divide them on four types each for the season (summer, autumn, winter, spring). The second one is that we predict future values using recurrent neural network called “Nonlinear autoregressive model process with exogenous input” (NARX) that trained on previous data from the sources and weather conditions that already been sorted by the season for more accurate values. In this paper, we will closely analyze this prediction model and give some modelling results. After we have predicted values we can analyze and compare it with estimate consumption level, then we can control distribution of electric energy over the grid by unplugging some not important systems. If we can`t equalize levels of regeneration and consumption we convert our system to general source of electric energy to buy some time to renewable source recharge the battery. The system mostly independent but it`s can be integrated in a big or small Smart Grid. Such systems often include renewable sources of energy and they need maintaining distribution. In addition, our system can save money just because the main priority of it is efficient use of electric energy. We all know that energy from renewable sources is cheaper than from general electric grid and system try to use it on 100%.
References
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Zina Boussaada, Octavian Curea, Ahmed Remaci, Haritza Camblong, Najiba Mrabet Bellaa, A Nonlinear Autoregressive Exogenous (NARX) Neural Network Model for the Prediction of theDaily Direct Solar Radiation, Energies 2018, 11, 620
H.B. Demuth, M. Beale, Users’ Guide for the Neural Network Toolbox for Matlab, The Mathworks, Natica, MA, 1998
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